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The quickest fix in your case:
.message_container { width: 361px; }
I'm not sure exactly why, but not giving the container a fixed width when containing a <p> causes issues, give it one and the jumpyness goes away.
I found this problem in many occasions in which I was animating just the height with slideToggle but not the margin/padding.
So, something like this might solve it:
$("#thediv").slideToggle().animate({"margin-bottom": "toggle"});